Thursday, January 22, 2009

No Team of Rivals: Thoughts on UFC 93

Beneath the veneer of Marcus Davis' tactful boxing over Chris Lytle, Mark Coleman's gutsy losing effort against Shogun Rua, and the dual Fight of the Night awards they engendered lies the fact that nothing resembling a valid contender emerged from UFC 93.

Shogun Rua, for one, was yet laden with the poor conditioning and muted ferocity that has haunted him since his fight with Forrest Griffin. Many irritated fans speculate that Shogun's new found restriction from performance enhancing drugs is to blame, but that remains merely speculation. What is certain is that a change in fight promotions, training camps, and a series of knee injuries and surgeries (combined, perhaps, with two consecutive opponents that are easily underestimated) have taken a severe toll. Coleman, for his part, showed immense heart and grit in nearly finishing Shogun in the third round, but also exhibited a still-limited skill set and continuously troubling endurance--deal-breakers when considering a match up with champion Rashad Evans, or apparent frontrunners Lyoto Machida and Rampage Jackson.

Rich Franklin, while a top performer, also showed critical flaws in his only-moderate wrestling ability and a distinct tentativeness that would serve him poorly against any of the aforementioned light-heavyweight contenders, let alone nightmare-matchup Anderson Silva back at middleweight. And while Dan Henderson came away with the victory, he didn't show any marked development that would end a second fight with Anderson Silva any differently, either. And its hard to imagine that his wrestling would be good enough to topple the explosive Evans or Jackson (who has already outwrestled Henderson once before) when he could only keep Franklin down in fits and spurts.

Marcus Davis, despite a fairly impressive record, has expressed no wish to become a welterweight champion, which is just as well considering the trouble he had with the tough but unheralded Chris Lytle. Rousimar Palhares, in being unable to finish Jeremy Horn (a feat that Nate Marquardt and recent UFC emigrant Dean Lister accomplished quite handily) showed that his skill set may not be as well-adapted to MMA as many hoped. Elsewhere in the middleweight division, the arrival of anticipated contender Denis Kang ended with a whimper. Kang showed his characteristic in-fight flakiness when he succumbed to a guillotine choke off of an attempted takedown, despite winning in the standup against Alan Belcher. Belcher, meanwhile, has shown some improvement, but suffers from inconsistent performances, which will likely keep him from contender status for at least a year.

Leading up to last Saturday my brother described this card as somehow melancholy, with all of the major players in search of direction or relevance, in some cases desperately. Yet now that the official results have been called, that feeling seems all the more pervasive, with troubled and indistinct performances characterizing much of the night. It could very well take a full year before any of that night's featured light-heavyweights or middleweights can make definitive steps towards a title threat. With uninspired performances from Henderson, Franklin, and Rua, look for Machida to finally cement his number one contender spot at the end of January, while Demian Maia can be expected to break out from the shuffle and grind of the middleweight division with a win over WEC champion Chael Sonnen in late February.